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Nope! We haven't used live virus in the U.S. flu vaccine since back in 1945, so it can’t give you the actual flu. There are two possible explanations for symptoms after the flu shot. First, you might have already been infected with a cold or flu virus since they usually circulate by the time people get their annual shot, and it takes 2 weeks for immune protection to actually kick in. The second possible reason is that the flu shot does cause an immune reaction. This is why some people might get a fever, body aches, and fatigue for a day or so after their jab. That’s the bad news, but it actually means the shot is working by tricking your body into making the antigens that it will need to fight the flu in the future. The good news: it will be short and much more mild than any actual flu infection.
Sources: YLE, Mayo Clinic
Over the past 20+ years that H5N1 has been circulating, the overall human mortality rate has been a whopping 50% in about 1,000 confirmed cases. That’s about as fatal as Ebola, for context. But in the U.S., we’ve seen nearly 60 confirmed cases since the dairy cattle outbreak first began, and all but one (the mysterious Missouri case) have been quite mild.
So what’s going on? We’re left with a few options:
Possibility 1: Our estimates for case fatality rate are actually just wrong because so many people have mild symptoms and just never get tested. Only those with severe illness are counted among confirmed cases.
Possibility 2: Most of these livestock-related cases are infections via the eyes because that’s where humans have bird-type flu receptors, and something about eye infections makes them milder and less likely to spread to the respiratory tract.
Possibility 3: There’s something about this specific strain (2.3.4.4b) circulating that just isn’t very good at infecting people.
Possibility 4: People have actually gained immunity due to exposure to other similar flu viruses (like H1N1, the swine flu that caused a pandemic in 2009).
Bottom Line: We really don’t understand what it is about this H5N1 virus that is making it so mild in the U.S. It may be a combination of these factors or just luck. Dr. Mike Osterholm at the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy, who has worked on this virus for over two decades, thinks there is just something about H5N1 that isn’t able to make the leap into human-to-human transmission and never will. We tend to think he’s right, though that doesn’t mean we shouldn’t monitor the situation carefully and be prepared. Even if it’s not H5N1, another flu pandemic is very likely in our lifetimes, and employers should have a pandemic plan in place.
Primary source: STAT ; Other sources: Lancet, CIDRAP
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