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Health is a huge focus of this year’s COP28, the UN climate conference taking place in Dubai. Mosquito-borne diseases like dengue, zika, and chikungunya are shifting to new parts of the world as warmer temperatures and more rain increase mosquito range. Waterborne diseases like cholera are on the rise due to cyclones, floods, and droughts limiting access to clean water. And that doesn’t even touch on the more obvious heat-related illness and wildfires or their indirect air pollution, which is already killing people here in the US. These are all happening right now, at a pace that means they should already be top of mind for employers.
Sources: Reuters
It’s hard to predict the severity of surges, but we can say that COVID wastewater data from the CDC’s new dashboard surprised us this week with how quickly positive samples were rising in the Midwest and Northeast in particular. There’s been about a 40% jump in COVID cases this week over last week. RSV cases are even higher than COVID right now, though they may be close to peaking. We expect this winter to be similar to last, with higher-than normal numbers overall, but we don’t expect another Omicron-like surge. Predictions can be tricky since everything from new variants to new diseases - like pneumonia surging in China and Europe or a new swine flu in the UK - can change the landscape quickly. That said, we think you should plan for a similar year to last year - with a fair number of sick calls each week, especially just after holiday gatherings.
Sources: Eric Topol, JP Weiland, YLE, Fortune
JN.1 is a descendent of BA.2.86, also known as the Pirola variant. You may remember Pirola because it caused concern with over 30 new mutations, and its offspring JN.1 is similarly mutated. JN.1 makes up nearly half of cases in some European countries already, and is poised to take over as the dominant variant globally. The good news is that the updated booster provides protection against it, though only about 16% of Americans have gotten the newest booster so far. None of the dominant variants since the original Omicron have caused the type of massive surge we saw a few years ago, so we’re watching with interest but not fear right now.
Source: YLE
Egypt Wiped Out Hepatitis C. Now It Is Trying to Help the Rest of Africa. - NY Times